Last year, we provided several tips for completing a mid-year analysis, which we have reprised and updated below to address more current concerns. Following this list is advice focused on another emerging issue in the current environment, collateral.
Mid-year actuarial analysis tips:
As you consider a mid-year analysis, review the list of tips below to help ensure this process is smooth and effective.
- Consider the timing of the mid-year analysis. Reports with data valued in June, July, and August provide results earlier in the year. However, reports completed in September or October may allow for a more credible roll-forward analysis to year-end and give better indications of year-end results.
- Consider any latent effects of the pandemic on exposures or changes in business.
- How should the current year be handled if it is not a complete year? Most actuarial reports include a pro-rata portion of the current year through the evaluation date. Therefore, any large claims or significant exposure changes for the current year should be identified and discussed.
- Are changes to data fields needed? Mid-year is a great time to address any changes to the way data is captured. This process may allow for more detailed claims analysis and can be implemented more efficiently prior to year-end. Examples of potential changes include adding data fields to identify specific injuries, COVID-related claims, or claims being litigated.
There are further suggestions that may be useful in our previous blog on preparing for a year-end actuarial report.
One of the tips in that year-end article highlights collateral considerations. Collateral has been a significant issue for many companies in 2023, and as a result, we are receiving a significantly higher number of collateral consultation inquiries. These normally involve a client believing their carrier is holding or requesting collateral above what they consider to be reasonable. A mid-year actuarial report can help with collateral issues, especially when the carrier collateral evaluation or review also takes place at mid-year. An actuarial report can:
- include an analysis of the required reserves and loss projection, which can facilitate collateral discussions and comparisons,
- provide an anticipated payout of liabilities, and
- estimate roll-forward liabilities to project upcoming collateral positions
Understanding current trends with collateral is important, and SIGMA monitors these trends over time through periodic collateral surveys. The 2023 edition of this survey is currently accepting participants, and we would love your input. Results will be shared with all respondents. You can take the survey by clicking the link below:
Finally, below are several SIGMA resources that can help with collateral issues:
If you need more information about any of these topics or help with your mid-year actuarial analysis, please contact us at support@SIGMAactuary.com or schedule a call with one of our consulting actuaries.
© SIGMA Actuarial Consulting Group, Inc.