Loss Development and Trend | SIGMA Actuarial Consulting Group, Inc.

Understanding Confidence Intervals

by Timothy L. Coomer, Ph.D. | Jul 25, 2016 | Loss Development and Trend, Training Resources

Seeing the Big Picture While a loss pick or point estimate produced from accurate analysis by an experienced actuary is valuable information, its usefulness is tempered by the likelihood of how accurate the estimate is. That is, from a statistical standpoint, the loss...

Analytics for Non-traditional Captive Risks

by Michelle Bradley, ACAS, MAAA, ARM, CERA | Jun 22, 2016 | Loss Development and Trend, Self-Insurance, Captives and Pool Issues

After attending the Fall 2015 Hawaii Captive Insurance Council meeting and the Spring 2016 CICA captive meeting, I became increasingly aware of the continued trend of placing non-traditional1 risks in captives. At SIGMA, we are seeing a growing number of captives...

Forecasting Losses

by Timothy L. Coomer, Ph.D. | May 19, 2016 | Loss Development and Trend

Trending to the Future In a prior blog article, we discussed loss development factors and IBNR analysis. The IBNR analysis includes the estimation of ultimate incurred losses for past years, but what about future years? If we also have an estimate of exposures, then...

Cyber Risk emerges in the Property & Casualty Market – Reflections on a Year of Education and Research

by Michelle Bradley, ACAS, MAAA, ARM, CERA | Mar 10, 2016 | Loss Control, Loss Development and Trend

Cyber risk is likely the most significant property casualty risk to emerge in recent times. Premiums for cyber risk are growing significantly, and daily headlines bring attention to yet another major data breach affecting an entity. Most of us with credit cards have...

Gross vs. Net Retained Reserves: Considerations for Year End 2015 Actuarial Reports

by Michelle Bradley, ACAS, MAAA, ARM, CERA | Oct 29, 2015 | Benchmarking, Loss Development and Trend

Many companies have a liability associated with retained losses through self-insured retentions or large deductible programs for a wide array of risks. These can include workers compensation, automobile liability, general liability, medical professional liability, and...

Conversation on Loss Development Factors

by Timothy L. Coomer, Ph.D. | Jul 21, 2014 | Loss Development and Trend

I have found that interviews can often produce interesting results and insights. So, this month, I decided to sit down with Tony King, one of our actuarial analysts, and discuss the popular topic of loss development factors. The conversation has been edited for...

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Understanding Confidence Intervals

Analytics for Non-traditional Captive Risks

Forecasting Losses

Cyber Risk emerges in the Property & Casualty Market – Reflections on a Year of Education and Research

Gross vs. Net Retained Reserves: Considerations for Year End 2015 Actuarial Reports

Conversation on Loss Development Factors

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